Premier League predictions

4 upcoming Premier League fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.

• Hull City vs Everton prediction: Everton narrow favourites at 51.7% — Premier League, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC
• Coventry City vs Newcastle United prediction: Newcastle United to win 0-2 as model gives 49.8% chance — Premier League, Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
• Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction: Manchester City to win 1-2 as model gives 40.9% chance — Premier League, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC
• Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Nottingham Forest to win 0-1 as model gives 39.3% chance — Premier League, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC

How to read these Premier League previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.