AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%
Football markets

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Over 2.5 goals means three or more goals in the match; under 2.5 means two or fewer. Here is our call for every football match we price over the next four days, with the model's probability.

Our record on this market: 121 correct out of 200 settled matches (61%). Every pick is published before kick-off and checked against the final score.

Strongest picks

MatchCompetitionPrediction
Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens
Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC		Champions LeagueUnder 2.5 93.4%
San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra
Sun 11 Oct, 17:45 UTC		Liga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 89.9%
LASK Linz v Liverpool
Wed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC		Champions LeagueUnder 2.5 84.9%
Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund
Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC		Champions LeagueOver 2.5 84.3%
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Bolton Wanderers
Tue 13 Oct, 18:45 UTC		ChampionshipOver 2.5 82.6%
Mallorca v Las Palmas
Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UTC		LaLiga 2Under 2.5 82.1%

All Over/Under 2.5 predictions, next four days

Kick-off (UTC)MatchCompetitionPrediction
Sunday 11 October
01:00Atlas v GuadalajaraLiga MXOver 2.5 54.1%
01:30Colorado Rapids v San Jose EarthquakesMLSOver 2.5 53.4%
02:30LAFC v Vancouver WhitecapsMLSUnder 2.5 51.7%
03:10América v MonterreyLiga MXOver 2.5 69.2%
05:00JEF United Ichihara-Chiba v V-Varen NagasakiJ1 LeagueOver 2.5 54.2%
06:00Mito Hollyhock v Shimizu S-PulseJ1 LeagueUnder 2.5 66.2%
06:00Tokyo Verdy 1969 v Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 LeagueUnder 2.5 56%
07:00Kawasaki Frontale v Nagoya GrampusJ1 LeagueOver 2.5 67.8%
10:15FC Utrecht v Willem IIEredivisieOver 2.5 74.4%
10:30Como v AS RomaSerie AUnder 2.5 52.6%
10:30Konyaspor v Istanbul BasaksehirSuper LigUnder 2.5 51.4%
11:00Southampton v PortsmouthChampionshipOver 2.5 65.7%
11:00Motherwell v CelticScottish PremiershipOver 2.5 53.9%
11:30Hertha Berlin v SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. BundesligaOver 2.5 70.5%
11:30St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC2. BundesligaOver 2.5 55.8%
11:30VfL Bochum v Arminia Bielefeld2. BundesligaOver 2.5 52.1%
11:30Standard Liege v Royal Charleroi SCBelgian Pro LeagueUnder 2.5 51%
12:00Elche v Celta VigoLa LigaOver 2.5 55.8%
12:00FC Andorra v CastellónLaLiga 2Over 2.5 58.4%
12:00Randers FC v Viborg FFDanish SuperligaOver 2.5 51.6%
12:00Silkeborg IF v AC HorsensDanish SuperligaOver 2.5 70.1%
12:00Hammarby IF v DjurgårdenAllsvenskanOver 2.5 50.1%
12:30PEC Zwolle v SC CambuurEredivisieOver 2.5 72.6%
12:30Telstar v ADO Den HaagEredivisieOver 2.5 50.3%
12:30SC Rheindorf Altach v WolfsbergerAustrian BundesligaUnder 2.5 61.2%
12:30TSV Hartberg v Austria LustenauAustrian BundesligaOver 2.5 52%
12:30Fredrikstad v TromsoEliteserienOver 2.5 51.9%
13:00Crystal Palace v Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueUnder 2.5 55%
13:00Hull City v EvertonPremier LeagueUnder 2.5 73.2%
13:00Lazio v MonzaSerie AOver 2.5 69.5%
13:00Lecce v BolognaSerie AUnder 2.5 66.3%
13:00Nice v StrasbourgLigue 1Over 2.5 55.6%
13:00Aberdeen v St JohnstoneScottish PremiershipUnder 2.5 59.4%
13:00Catanzaro v MantovaSerie BOver 2.5 62.8%
13:00Gaziantep FK v Çorum FKSuper LigOver 2.5 74.2%
13:30FC Cologne v Borussia MönchengladbachBundesligaOver 2.5 70.8%
13:40Al Fayha v Al RiyadhSaudi Pro LeagueOver 2.5 50.5%
14:00Union St.-Gilloise v OH LeuvenBelgian Pro LeagueOver 2.5 60.8%
14:00Iraklis v LevadiakosGreek Super LeagueUnder 2.5 66.5%
14:00Kifisia v PanetolikosGreek Super LeagueUnder 2.5 62.3%
14:00Brøndby IF v Lyngby BoldklubDanish SuperligaUnder 2.5 51%
14:15Real Sociedad v DeportivoLa LigaOver 2.5 55.9%
14:15Almería v LeganésLaLiga 2Over 2.5 51.2%
14:30Rio Ave v C.D. NacionalPrimeira LigaUnder 2.5 54.7%
14:30BK Häcken v Örgryte ISAllsvenskanOver 2.5 70.8%
14:45Excelsior v FC GroningenEredivisieOver 2.5 61%
15:00LASK Linz v Rapid ViennaAustrian BundesligaOver 2.5 69.7%
15:00Aalesund v Sarpsborg FKEliteserienOver 2.5 59.4%
15:00IK Start v HamarkamerateneEliteserienOver 2.5 57.4%
15:15Stade Rennais v AJ AuxerreLigue 1Over 2.5 67.9%
15:15Padova v CarrareseSerie BUnder 2.5 68.7%
15:25Abha v Al FaisalySaudi Pro LeagueUnder 2.5 74.4%
15:30Liverpool v Manchester CityPremier LeagueOver 2.5 56.4%
15:30SC Freiburg v Schalke 04BundesligaUnder 2.5 73%
15:30Everton CD v La SerenaPrimera DivisionOver 2.5 63.8%
16:00Sassuolo v AC MilanSerie AOver 2.5 52.5%
16:00Besiktas v KocaelisporSuper LigUnder 2.5 66.1%
16:00Aris v Volos NFCGreek Super LeagueOver 2.5 53.4%
16:00FC Midtjylland v F.C. KøbenhavnDanish SuperligaOver 2.5 58.8%
16:30Real Betis v OsasunaLa LigaUnder 2.5 50.6%
16:30Mallorca v Las PalmasLaLiga 2Under 2.5 82.1%
16:30KVC Westerlo v AntwerpBelgian Pro LeagueOver 2.5 66.7%
17:00Benfica v Vitória de GuimaraesPrimeira LigaOver 2.5 68.6%
17:15KV Mechelen v Sint-TruidenseBelgian Pro LeagueOver 2.5 56.1%
17:15Lillestrom v MoldeEliteserienOver 2.5 63.2%
17:30Modena v Hellas VeronaSerie BOver 2.5 56.4%
17:45San Lorenzo v Deportivo RiestraLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 89.9%
18:00Olympiacos v PanathinaikosGreek Super LeagueUnder 2.5 81.6%
18:00Al Shabab v Al TaawounSaudi Pro LeagueUnder 2.5 52.7%
18:00Coquimbo Unido v Colo ColoPrimera DivisionOver 2.5 58.4%
18:45Cagliari v JuventusSerie AUnder 2.5 69.1%
18:45Troyes v MarseilleLigue 1Over 2.5 60.8%
19:00Racing Santander v ValenciaLa LigaOver 2.5 76.4%
19:00Atlético-MG v SantosBrasileiraoOver 2.5 52.7%
19:00Cádiz v Sporting GijónLaLiga 2Under 2.5 54.5%
19:30Arouca v EstrelaPrimeira LigaOver 2.5 68.1%
20:00Platense v Argentinos JuniorsLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 64.5%
20:00Rosario Central v Independiente RivadaviaLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 56.1%
20:30Flamengo v FluminenseBrasileiraoOver 2.5 56.2%
20:30Grêmio v InternacionalBrasileiraoUnder 2.5 59.8%
20:30Palmeiras v CorinthiansBrasileiraoUnder 2.5 60.4%
20:30Deportes Concepcion v Unión La CaleraPrimera DivisionUnder 2.5 68.6%
21:05Jaguares de Córdoba v Deportes TolimaPrimera AUnder 2.5 57.5%
22:15Racing Club v Belgrano (Córdoba)Liga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 68.4%
22:30Bahia v MirassolBrasileiraoOver 2.5 51.8%
23:00St. Louis CITY SC v LA GalaxyMLSOver 2.5 64.9%
23:00Atlético de San Luis v SantosLiga MXOver 2.5 58%
23:00Deportes Limache v PalestinoPrimera DivisionOver 2.5 64.7%
23:10Pachuca v NecaxaLiga MXOver 2.5 54.4%
23:10Boyacá Chicó FC v Cúcuta DeportivoPrimera AUnder 2.5 51%
Monday 12 October
00:30Talleres (Córdoba) v IndependienteLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 59.7%
01:15Pumas UNAM v Cruz AzulLiga MXOver 2.5 63.6%
01:15América de Cali v Independiente MedellínPrimera AUnder 2.5 50.8%
12:00Real Valladolid v AlbaceteLaLiga 2Under 2.5 58.9%
14:15Burgos v GranadaLaLiga 2Under 2.5 55%
15:00PAOK v KalamataGreek Super LeagueOver 2.5 68.2%
16:30Atalanta v VeneziaSerie AOver 2.5 62.8%
16:30Real Oviedo v EibarLaLiga 2Under 2.5 65.6%
17:00Eyupspor v GoztepeSuper LigOver 2.5 58.8%
17:00AGF v Sønderjyske FodboldDanish SuperligaOver 2.5 68.3%
17:00KFUM Oslo v VålerengaEliteserienOver 2.5 65.6%
17:00IF Elfsborg v Halmstads BKAllsvenskanUnder 2.5 60.5%
17:00Malmö FF v Kalmar FFAllsvenskanOver 2.5 54.7%
18:45Torino v UdineseSerie AOver 2.5 56.1%
18:45Dijon FCO v MetzLigue 2Over 2.5 55%
19:00Coventry City v Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueUnder 2.5 53%
19:00Levante v SevillaLa LigaOver 2.5 54.5%
19:00Coritiba v BotafogoBrasileiraoOver 2.5 62.3%
19:00Lanús v Vélez SarsfieldLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 68.1%
19:00Tenerife v GironaLaLiga 2Over 2.5 51.8%
19:15FC Famalicao v AlvercaPrimeira LigaUnder 2.5 59%
20:00Universidad de Chile v ÑublensePrimera DivisionOver 2.5 53.6%
21:30Gimnasia (Mendoza) v Newell's Old BoysLiga ProfesionalUnder 2.5 62.9%
22:30Chapecoense v Athletico-PRBrasileiraoOver 2.5 64.3%
Tuesday 13 October
00:00Red Bull Bragantino v CruzeiroBrasileiraoUnder 2.5 54.6%
16:45Lens v Sporting CPChampions LeagueOver 2.5 81.1%
16:45Sabah FK v Slavia PragueChampions LeagueOver 2.5 70.9%
18:45Bristol City v Blackburn RoversChampionshipUnder 2.5 56.2%
18:45Burnley v Charlton AthleticChampionshipUnder 2.5 56.6%
18:45Cardiff City v WatfordChampionshipUnder 2.5 56.5%
18:45Millwall v Swansea CityChampionshipOver 2.5 51.5%
18:45Wolverhampton Wanderers v Bolton WanderersChampionshipOver 2.5 82.6%
18:45Wrexham v West Bromwich AlbionChampionshipUnder 2.5 60.5%
19:00Birmingham City v Preston North EndChampionshipOver 2.5 50.3%
19:00Stoke City v MiddlesbroughChampionshipOver 2.5 56.1%
19:00Arsenal v LilleChampions LeagueOver 2.5 69.5%
19:00Atlético Madrid v Manchester UnitedChampions LeagueOver 2.5 73.1%
19:00Galatasaray v BarcelonaChampions LeagueOver 2.5 81.3%
19:00Internazionale v Club BruggeChampions LeagueOver 2.5 74.4%
19:00RB Leipzig v PSV EindhovenChampions LeagueOver 2.5 80%
19:00Viking FK v Bayern MunichChampions LeagueOver 2.5 77%
19:00Villarreal v NapoliChampions LeagueUnder 2.5 67.5%
23:30Atlético Bucaramanga v Águilas DoradasPrimera AOver 2.5 53.8%
Wednesday 14 October
01:30Millonarios v Once CaldasPrimera AUnder 2.5 56.7%
16:45Feyenoord Rotterdam v ComoChampions LeagueOver 2.5 74.6%
16:45LASK Linz v LiverpoolChampions LeagueUnder 2.5 84.9%
18:45Norwich City v SouthamptonChampionshipOver 2.5 73.4%
18:45Portsmouth v Sheffield UnitedChampionshipOver 2.5 50.2%
18:45Queens Park Rangers v Derby CountyChampionshipUnder 2.5 53.5%
19:00Lincoln City v West Ham UnitedChampionshipUnder 2.5 52.1%
19:00AS Roma v Real MadridChampions LeagueUnder 2.5 63.6%
19:00Aston Villa v FenerbahceChampions LeagueOver 2.5 62.7%
19:00Bodo/Glimt v Borussia DortmundChampions LeagueOver 2.5 84.3%
19:00Manchester City v Paris Saint-GermainChampions LeagueOver 2.5 57.7%
19:00Real Betis v FC PortoChampions LeagueOver 2.5 72.5%
19:00Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK AthensChampions LeagueUnder 2.5 93.4%
19:00Slovan Bratislava v VfB StuttgartChampions LeagueOver 2.5 74.6%
21:30Atlético Junior v Deportivo PereiraPrimera AOver 2.5 55.9%
22:00Sarmiento (Junín) v River PlateLiga ProfesionalOver 2.5 61%
23:30CF Montréal v Atlanta United FCMLSOver 2.5 50.2%
23:30Columbus Crew v Charlotte FCMLSOver 2.5 55.5%
23:30D.C. United v Red Bull New YorkMLSUnder 2.5 54%
23:30FC Cincinnati v New England RevolutionMLSOver 2.5 76.9%
23:30Inter Miami CF v New York City FCMLSOver 2.5 69.5%
23:30Toronto FC v Orlando City SCMLSOver 2.5 75.9%
23:30Independiente Santa Fe v Jaguares de CórdobaPrimera AOver 2.5 60%
Thursday 15 October
00:30Chicago Fire FC v Philadelphia UnionMLSOver 2.5 74.4%
00:30FC Dallas v Seattle Sounders FCMLSOver 2.5 57.1%
00:30Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas CityMLSOver 2.5 72.7%
00:30St. Louis CITY SC v Vancouver WhitecapsMLSOver 2.5 64.5%

How these predictions are made

We estimate how many goals each team should score from its recent attacking and defensive record, weighted toward the latest matches and adjusted for home advantage. A Dixon-Coles goals model converts those expected goals into a probability for every scoreline, and the over 2.5 figure is the total for scorelines with three or more goals.

Questions

What does over 2.5 goals mean?

The match finishes with three or more goals in total, counting both teams. Under 2.5 is two goals or fewer.

Why 2.5 and not 3?

The half-goal line means there is no tie: every match is either over or under, so there is no void result.

How reliable are over/under predictions?

They are probabilities, not guarantees. Our settled hit rate is shown on this page and updates as results come in.

Other markets

BTTS predictions · Correct score predictions · All football predictions · Full track record

Probabilities are model estimates for information only, not betting advice. 18+. Gamble responsibly.