Prediction Track Record

Every prediction is scored against the actual result. Settled predictions: 339, correct: 181 (53.4% hit rate).

Proper scoring over 339 predictions — Brier score 0.537 (0 = perfect), Log-loss 0.839 (lower is better). These measure the quality of our probabilities, not just whether the top pick won.

Accuracy by confidence

Picks rated 75%+: 26/32 correct — 81.3%
Picks rated 65-75%: 26/41 correct — 63.4%
Picks rated 55-65%: 56/104 correct — 53.8%
Picks rated under 55%: 73/162 correct — 45.1%

Recent results

MISS — Universidad Católica 0-0 Audax Italiano · predicted HOME (Primera Division)
MISS — FC Juárez 1-1 Tijuana · predicted AWAY (Liga MX)
WON — Querétaro 2-0 Atlante · predicted HOME (Liga MX)
MISS — Tigre 1-2 Banfield · predicted HOME (Liga Profesional)
MISS — Florida Panthers 1-4 Minnesota Wild · predicted HOME (NHL)
MISS — Vasco da Gama 0-0 Remo · predicted HOME (Brasileirao)
MISS — Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportivo Cali · predicted AWAY (Primera A)
MISS — Huachipato 2-0 O'Higgins · predicted AWAY (Primera Division)
WON — Ohio State Buckeyes 45-16 Maryland Terrapins · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
MISS — Arkansas Razorbacks 17-24 Tennessee Volunteers · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
MISS — Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2-2 Estudiantes de La Plata · predicted AWAY (Liga Profesional)
WON — San Jose Sharks 1-3 Edmonton Oilers · predicted AWAY (NHL)
MISS — Temple Owls 20-34 UConn Huskies · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
MISS — Académico de Viseu 2-1 Estoril · predicted AWAY (Primeira Liga)
WON — Casa Pia 0-1 Santa Clara · predicted AWAY (Primeira Liga)
WON — New Jersey Devils 4-1 Vancouver Canucks · predicted HOME (NHL)
WON — North Texas Mean Green 50-10 Charlotte 49ers · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
WON — Ohio Bobcats 31-14 Central Michigan Chippewas · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
WON — Western Michigan Broncos 38-7 Kent State Golden Flashes · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)
WON — Navy Midshipmen 34-26 Tulsa Golden Hurricane · predicted HOME (NCAA Football)