Bundesliga predictions

2 upcoming Bundesliga fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.

• SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 prediction: SC Freiburg to win 1-0 as model gives 55.6% chance — Bundesliga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC
• FC Cologne vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction: FC Cologne to win 2-1 as model gives 42.9% chance — Bundesliga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC

How to read these Bundesliga previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.