Serie A predictions
7 upcoming Serie A fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.
- Cagliari vs Juventus prediction: Juventus to win 0-1 as model gives 65.9% chance — Serie A, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC
- Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction: AC Milan to win 1-2 as model gives 56.1% chance — Serie A, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC
- Lecce vs Bologna prediction: Bologna to win 0-1 as model gives 55.1% chance — Serie A, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC
- Lazio vs Monza prediction: Lazio to win 2-1 as model gives 54.9% chance — Serie A, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC
- Atalanta vs Venezia prediction: Atalanta to win 2-0 as model gives 53.3% chance — Serie A, Mon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC
- Como vs AS Roma prediction: AS Roma to win 0-1 as model gives 39.7% chance — Serie A, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 10:30 UTC
- Torino vs Udinese prediction: Torino to win 2-1 as model gives 39.6% chance — Serie A, Mon, 12 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC
How to read these Serie A previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.