PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur prediction: PEC Zwolle to win 2-1 as model gives 48.3% chance
Eredivisie sees PEC Zwolle face SC Cambuur at MAC³PARK Stadion. The model makes PEC Zwolle the favourite, assigning a slight 48.3% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is PEC Zwolle 48.3%, draw 24.3%, SC Cambuur 27.4%.
PEC Zwolle have generated 1.08 goals per game (0.64x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.47 conceded per game. SC Cambuur average 1.47 scored (0.86x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.60 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.8 for PEC Zwolle and 1.9 for SC Cambuur.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 72.6%), and both teams are likely to score (72.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: PEC Zwolle to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 48.3% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.