LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna prediction: LASK Linz to win 2-1 as model gives 51.2% chance
Austrian Bundesliga sees LASK Linz face Rapid Vienna at Raiffeisen Arena (Linz). The model makes LASK Linz the favourite, assigning a slight 51.2% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is LASK Linz 51.2%, draw 26.5%, Rapid Vienna 22.3%.
LASK Linz have generated 2.32 goals per game (1.61x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.17 conceded per game. Rapid Vienna average 1.92 scored (1.33x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.23 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.2 for LASK Linz and 1.4 for Rapid Vienna.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 69.7%), and both teams are likely to score (68%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 3-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: LASK Linz to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 51.2% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Champions League qualifying: Camilo Durán double helps Celtic take first-leg lead over LASK — A stunning double from summer signing Camilo Durán helped Celtic open up a commanding lead against LASK Linz in the Champions League playoff. (ESPN, 2026-08-19)
Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga