Tenerife vs Girona prediction: Girona to win 0-2 as model gives 45.5% chance
LaLiga 2 sees Tenerife face Girona at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López. The model makes Girona the favourite, assigning a slight 45.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Tenerife 27.8%, draw 26.7%, Girona 45.5%.
Tenerife have generated 1.20 goals per game (0.90x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.55 conceded per game. Girona average 1.71 scored (1.29x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.95 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Tenerife and 1.8 for Girona.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (52.6%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 1-1, 0-2, 0-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Girona to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 45.5% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Girona vs. Arsenal: TV channel, how to watch in UK, kickoff time, live stream, team news — Arsenal are set to continue their preseason ahead of the 2026-27 campaign as they travel to Spain to take on Girona. (ESPN, 2026-10-02)