Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir prediction: Istanbul Basaksehir to win 0-1 as model gives 44.7% chance
Super Lig sees Konyaspor face Istanbul Basaksehir at Medas Konya Büyüksehir Stadyumu. The model makes Istanbul Basaksehir the favourite, assigning a narrow 44.7% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Konyaspor 28.7%, draw 26.6%, Istanbul Basaksehir 44.7%.
Konyaspor have generated 1.02 goals per game (0.71x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.36 conceded per game. Istanbul Basaksehir average 1.76 scored (1.23x average) and are a steady defence at 1.39 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.1 for Konyaspor and 1.5 for Istanbul Basaksehir.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (53.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-1, with 1-1, 0-1, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Istanbul Basaksehir to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 44.7% confidence. A 0-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker on lessons from Harry Kane, and dreams of managing Spurs — Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker is targeting a return to Tottenham Hotspur as manager, and lessons he learned from Harry Kane and Ledley King have been influential in the way he approaches players. (ESPN, 2026-09-08)
- Mohamed Salah nets first goals for Trabzonspor in win over Istanbul Basaksehir — Mohamed Salah scored his first goals for Trabzonspor with a brace in their 2-1 win over Istanbul Basaksehir. (ESPN, 2026-08-23)