Eyupspor vs Goztepe prediction: Goztepe to win 1-2 as model gives 50% chance
Super Lig sees Eyupspor face Goztepe at Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi. The model makes Goztepe the favourite, assigning a slight 50% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Eyupspor 24.8%, draw 25.2%, Goztepe 50%.
Eyupspor have generated 0.86 goals per game (0.60x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.99 conceded per game. Goztepe average 1.50 scored (1.05x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.73 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.2 for Eyupspor and 1.9 for Goztepe.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 58.8%), and both teams are likely to score (59.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 1-1, 1-2, 0-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Goztepe to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 50% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.