Amed SFK vs Konyaspor prediction: Amed SFK to win 2-0 as model gives 49.8% chance
Super Lig sees Amed SFK face Konyaspor at Diyarbakir Stadyumu. The model makes Amed SFK the favourite, assigning a slight 49.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Amed SFK 49.8%, draw 28.4%, Konyaspor 21.8%.
Amed SFK have generated 2.46 goals per game (1.74x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.33 conceded per game. Konyaspor average 0.94 scored (0.66x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.25 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.4 for Amed SFK and 0.8 for Konyaspor.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 62.6%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (50.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 2-0, 3-0, 2-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Amed SFK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 49.8% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker on lessons from Harry Kane, and dreams of managing Spurs — Konyaspor assistant manager Steven Caulker is targeting a return to Tottenham Hotspur as manager, and lessons he learned from Harry Kane and Ledley King have been influential in the way he approaches players. (ESPN, 2026-09-08)