Levadiakos vs Volos NFC prediction: Levadiakos to win 2-1 as model gives 43.8% chance
Greek Super League sees Levadiakos face Volos NFC at Levadia Municipal Stadium. The model makes Levadiakos the favourite, assigning a narrow 43.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Levadiakos 43.8%, draw 29%, Volos NFC 27.2%.
Levadiakos have generated 1.03 goals per game (0.80x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.65 conceded per game. Volos NFC average 1.04 scored (0.81x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.98 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.8 for Levadiakos and 1.2 for Volos NFC.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 57.3%), and both teams are likely to score (59.5%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Levadiakos to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 43.8% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.