La Liga predictions

5 upcoming La Liga fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.

• Real Sociedad vs Deportivo prediction: Real Sociedad to win 2-1 as model gives 71.5% chance — La Liga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 14:15 UTC
• Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction: Real Betis to win 2-0 as model gives 58.4% chance — La Liga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC
• Elche vs Celta Vigo prediction: Celta Vigo to win 1-2 as model gives 40.7% chance — La Liga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC
• Levante vs Sevilla prediction: Sevilla to win 1-2 as model gives 40.6% chance — La Liga, Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC
• Racing Santander vs Valencia prediction: Racing Santander to win 2-1 as model gives 38.4% chance — La Liga, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC

How to read these La Liga previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.