Serie B predictions

3 upcoming Serie B fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.

• Padova vs Carrarese prediction: Padova to win 1-0 as model gives 55.8% chance — Serie B, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:15 UTC
• Modena vs Hellas Verona prediction: Modena to win 2-1 as model gives 51.2% chance — Serie B, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC
• Catanzaro vs Mantova prediction: Catanzaro to win 2-1 as model gives 41.8% chance — Serie B, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC

How to read these Serie B previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.