Scottish Premiership predictions

2 upcoming Scottish Premiership fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.

• Motherwell vs Celtic prediction: Celtic to win 1-2 as model gives 66.2% chance — Scottish Premiership, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC
• Aberdeen vs St Johnstone prediction: Aberdeen to win 1-0 as model gives 46.2% chance — Scottish Premiership, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC

How to read these Scottish Premiership previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.