South Africa vs Australia prediction: Australia narrow favourites at 49.9%
Australia tour of South Africa 2026/27: South Africa host Australia at St George's Park, Gqeberha in a Test (2nd Test). Our ratings make Australia the favourite at 49.9%, with the draw at 11.3%.
The red-ball ratings have South Africa on 1675 and Australia on 1738, a gap of 63 points before a small home advantage is added. Recent red-ball form, most recent first: South Africa LWWWL, Australia WWLWL.
In their last 9 meetings in this format South Africa won 4, Australia won 4 and 1 ended drawn.
Verdict: Australia to win at 49.9%. Ratings are built from every men's and women's match since 2018 and update after each result, so a side's last few games count for more than its reputation.