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Over 1.5 goals predictions today

Over 1.5 goals means at least two goals in the match, from either team. It comes in far more often than over 2.5, so the strongest picks here carry high probabilities. Here is our call for every football match we price over the next four days.

Our record on this market: 271 correct out of 349 settled matches (78%). Every pick is published before kick-off and checked against the final score.

Strongest picks

MatchCompetitionPrediction
VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 UTC		2. BundesligaOver 1.5 96.6%
Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg
Fri 16 Oct, 16:30 UTC		2. BundesligaOver 1.5 96.3%
Bodo/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund
Wed 14 Oct, 19:00 UTC		Champions LeagueOver 1.5 94.8%
Hellas Verona v Catanzaro
Fri 16 Oct, 18:30 UTC		Serie BOver 1.5 93.4%
ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven
Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UTC		EredivisieOver 1.5 92.2%
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Ararat-Armenia
Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC		Europa LeagueOver 1.5 91.5%

All Over/Under 1.5 predictions, next four days

Kick-off (UTC)MatchCompetitionPrediction
Wednesday 14 October
16:45Feyenoord Rotterdam v ComoChampions LeagueOver 1.5 90.1%
16:45LASK Linz v LiverpoolChampions LeagueUnder 1.5 59.2%
18:45Norwich City v SouthamptonChampionshipOver 1.5 88.4%
18:45Portsmouth v Sheffield UnitedChampionshipOver 1.5 71.3%
18:45Queens Park Rangers v Derby CountyChampionshipOver 1.5 71.3%
19:00Lincoln City v West Ham UnitedChampionshipOver 1.5 78.5%
19:00AS Roma v Real MadridChampions LeagueOver 1.5 64.5%
19:00Aston Villa v FenerbahceChampions LeagueOver 1.5 85.3%
19:00Bodo/Glimt v Borussia DortmundChampions LeagueOver 1.5 94.8%
19:00Manchester City v Paris Saint-GermainChampions LeagueOver 1.5 80.1%
19:00Real Betis v FC PortoChampions LeagueOver 1.5 89.3%
19:00Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK AthensChampions LeagueUnder 1.5 73.6%
19:00Slovan Bratislava v VfB StuttgartChampions LeagueOver 1.5 90.1%
21:30Atlético Junior v Deportivo PereiraPrimera AOver 1.5 76.9%
22:00Sarmiento (Junín) v River PlateLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 80.1%
23:30CF Montréal v Atlanta United FCMLSOver 1.5 75.1%
23:30Columbus Crew v Charlotte FCMLSOver 1.5 80.1%
23:30D.C. United v Red Bull New YorkMLSOver 1.5 73.3%
23:30FC Cincinnati v New England RevolutionMLSOver 1.5 90.1%
23:30Inter Miami CF v New York City FCMLSOver 1.5 87.4%
23:30Toronto FC v Orlando City SCMLSOver 1.5 90.1%
23:30Independiente Santa Fe v Jaguares de CórdobaPrimera AOver 1.5 82.9%
Thursday 15 October
00:30Chicago Fire FC v Philadelphia UnionMLSOver 1.5 88.4%
00:30FC Dallas v Seattle Sounders FCMLSOver 1.5 80.1%
00:30Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas CityMLSOver 1.5 90.1%
00:30St. Louis CITY SC v Vancouver WhitecapsMLSOver 1.5 85.3%
01:30Colorado Rapids v Minnesota United FCMLSOver 1.5 80.1%
01:30Real Salt Lake v San Jose EarthquakesMLSOver 1.5 78.5%
02:30LA Galaxy v Portland TimbersMLSOver 1.5 88.4%
02:30LAFC v Austin FCMLSOver 1.5 73.3%
02:30San Diego FC v Houston Dynamo FCMLSOver 1.5 73.3%
13:40Al Faisaly v Al KholoodSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 66.9%
14:50Al Khaleej v Al FayhaSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 66.9%
15:15Al Hazem v Al FatehSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 64.5%
16:45AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'erEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 91%
16:45Lech Poznan v Bayer LeverkusenEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 85.3%
16:45Lyon v Crystal PalaceEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 78.5%
16:45NK Celje v Omonia NicosiaEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 55.8%
16:45RB Salzburg v AC MilanEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 66.9%
16:45Sparta Prague v LillestromEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 90.1%
16:45Torreense v SunderlandEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 59.2%
16:45Union St.-Gilloise v Real SociedadEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 86.4%
16:45CSKA Sofia v AS MonacoConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45CSU Craiova v GetafeConference LeagueOver 1.5 71.3%
16:45Egnatia v FC MidtjyllandConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45FC Lugano v Red Star BelgradeConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45Hajduk Split v Ajax AmsterdamConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45KAA Gent v AGFConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45KuPS Kuopio v TrabzonsporConference LeagueOver 1.5 59.4%
16:45Mjällby AIF v Inter D'EscaldesConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45Panathinaikos v Borac Banja LukaConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
16:45Riga FC v Kairat AlmatyConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
18:00Al Ahli v Al NassrSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 81.5%
19:00AFC Bournemouth v SK Sturm GrazEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 55.8%
19:00Benfica v CelticEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 87.4%
19:00Celta Vigo v JuventusEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 84.1%
19:00Dinamo Zagreb v AnderlechtEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 75.1%
19:00Ferencvaros v Viktoria PlzenEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 80.1%
19:00Jagiellonia Bialystok v Ararat-ArmeniaEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 91.5%
19:00Marseille v OlympiacosEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 90.8%
19:00NEC Nijmegen v Levski SofiaEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 66.3%
19:00Stade Rennais v OFI CreteEuropa LeagueUnder 1.5 84.4%
19:00TSG Hoffenheim v BesiktasEuropa LeagueOver 1.5 86.4%
19:00Atalanta v PafosConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00Brighton & Hove Albion v Kauno ZalgirisConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00F.C. København v BragaConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00FC Twente v FC ThunConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00Heart of Midlothian v FC NordsjællandConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00SC Freiburg v JablonecConference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00Sint-Truidense v Iberia 1999Conference LeagueOver 1.5 73.3%
19:00SK Brann v Lincoln Red ImpsConference LeagueOver 1.5 91.5%
19:00Mansfield Town v Oxford UnitedLeague OneOver 1.5 80.1%
23:00Huracán v Gimnasia La PlataLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 62%
Friday 16 October
09:00Sydney FC v Western Sydney WanderersA-League MenOver 1.5 66.9%
13:15Al Qadsiah v AbhaSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 87.4%
15:00Al Riyadh v Al HilalSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 90.1%
16:30Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg2. BundesligaOver 1.5 96.3%
16:30Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin2. BundesligaOver 1.5 76.9%
17:00Çorum FK v Caykur RizesporSuper LigOver 1.5 91.5%
17:00AC Horsens v Randers FCDanish SuperligaOver 1.5 87.4%
17:00IF Brommapojkarna v DjurgårdenAllsvenskanOver 1.5 85.3%
17:30Rapid Vienna v TSV HartbergAustrian BundesligaOver 1.5 87.4%
18:00Heerenveen v ExcelsiorEredivisieOver 1.5 80.1%
18:00Annecy v AS Nancy LorraineLigue 2Over 1.5 69.2%
18:00Grenoble v BoulogneLigue 2Under 1.5 52.5%
18:00Guingamp v PauLigue 2Over 1.5 78.5%
18:00Stade de Reims v Dijon FCOLigue 2Over 1.5 87.4%
18:00Stade Laval v Clermont FootLigue 2Over 1.5 69.2%
18:00Al Ittihad v Al ShababSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 81.5%
18:30Eintracht Frankfurt v FC CologneBundesligaOver 1.5 90.8%
18:30Leganés v CórdobaLaLiga 2Over 1.5 76.9%
18:30Hellas Verona v CatanzaroSerie BOver 1.5 93.4%
18:45Frosinone v SassuoloSerie AOver 1.5 80.1%
18:45Le Mans v ToulouseLigue 1Over 1.5 89.3%
19:00Deportivo v LevanteLa LigaOver 1.5 85.3%
19:00Burnley v Wolverhampton WanderersChampionshipOver 1.5 90.1%
22:00Defensa y Justicia v Instituto (Córdoba)Liga ProfesionalOver 1.5 73.3%
23:00Mirassol v InternacionalBrasileiraoOver 1.5 66.9%
Saturday 17 October
00:30Boca Juniors v Talleres (Córdoba)Liga ProfesionalOver 1.5 71.3%
01:00Necaxa v AtlasLiga MXOver 1.5 82.9%
03:00Atlante v Pumas UNAMLiga MXOver 1.5 78.5%
03:00Tijuana v PueblaLiga MXOver 1.5 69.2%
04:00Shimizu S-Pulse v Gamba OsakaJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 64.5%
04:00Auckland FC v Melbourne City FCA-League MenOver 1.5 71.3%
05:00JEF United Ichihara-Chiba v Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 76.9%
05:00Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto SangaJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 82.9%
05:00Tokyo Verdy 1969 v FC TokyoJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 64.5%
06:00Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 78.5%
06:00Kashima Antlers v V-Varen NagasakiJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 81.5%
06:00Macarthur FC v Perth GloryA-League MenOver 1.5 84.1%
07:00Mito Hollyhock v Urawa Red DiamondsJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 81.5%
08:40Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle JetsA-League MenOver 1.5 86.4%
10:00Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya GrampusJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 89.3%
10:30Erzurum BB v EyupsporSuper LigUnder 1.5 59.2%
11:00Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum2. BundesligaOver 1.5 50.7%
11:00SpVgg Greuther Fürth v TSV Eintracht Braunschweig2. BundesligaOver 1.5 81.5%
11:00VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Heidenheim 18462. BundesligaOver 1.5 96.6%
11:30Everton v ChelseaPremier LeagueOver 1.5 82.9%
11:30Middlesbrough v Cardiff CityChampionshipOver 1.5 85.3%
11:30Millwall v Lincoln CityChampionshipOver 1.5 62%
11:30Watford v Charlton AthleticChampionshipOver 1.5 64.5%
11:30Milton Keynes Dons v Luton TownLeague OneOver 1.5 80.1%
11:30Peterborough United v Burton AlbionLeague OneOver 1.5 71.3%
11:30Fleetwood Town v Rotherham UnitedLeague TwoOver 1.5 73.3%
11:30Shrewsbury Town v Bristol RoversLeague TwoOver 1.5 75.1%
12:00Espanyol v Atlético MadridLa LigaOver 1.5 76.9%
12:00Real Sociedad II v AlmeríaLaLiga 2Over 1.5 82.9%
12:00Metz v SochauxLigue 2Over 1.5 50.7%
12:00Nantes v DunkerqueLigue 2Over 1.5 76.9%
12:00Hamarkameratene v Bodo/GlimtEliteserienOver 1.5 91.5%
13:00Venezia v NapoliSerie AOver 1.5 86.4%
13:00Ascoli v EmpoliSerie BOver 1.5 59.4%
13:00Benevento v VicenzaSerie BOver 1.5 82.9%
13:00Carrarese v ModenaSerie BOver 1.5 62%
13:00Padova v Virtus EntellaSerie BOver 1.5 59.4%
13:00Amed SFK v KonyasporSuper LigOver 1.5 82.9%
13:00Genclerbirligi v GalatasaraySuper LigOver 1.5 86.4%
13:301. FC Union Berlin v Borussia DortmundBundesligaOver 1.5 85.3%
13:30Hamburg SV v VfB StuttgartBundesligaOver 1.5 85.3%
13:30Schalke 04 v MainzBundesligaOver 1.5 62%
13:30SV Elversberg v FC AugsburgBundesligaOver 1.5 80.1%
13:30Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07BundesligaOver 1.5 56.6%
14:00Brentford v LiverpoolPremier LeagueOver 1.5 76.9%
14:00Fulham v Hull CityPremier LeagueOver 1.5 62%
14:00Manchester City v Ipswich TownPremier LeagueOver 1.5 90.8%
14:00Birmingham City v Queens Park RangersChampionshipOver 1.5 71.3%
14:00Bristol City v Sheffield UnitedChampionshipOver 1.5 73.3%
14:00Derby County v Stoke CityChampionshipOver 1.5 76.9%
14:00Norwich City v PortsmouthChampionshipOver 1.5 81.5%
14:00Southampton v Bolton WanderersChampionshipOver 1.5 91.5%
14:00Swansea City v West Ham UnitedChampionshipOver 1.5 84.1%
14:00West Bromwich Albion v Blackburn RoversChampionshipOver 1.5 59.4%
14:00Wrexham v Preston North EndChampionshipOver 1.5 78.5%
14:00Barnsley v Cambridge UnitedLeague OneOver 1.5 76.9%
14:00Bradford City v StevenageLeague OneUnder 1.5 59.2%
14:00Leicester City v Doncaster RoversLeague OneOver 1.5 76.9%
14:00Leyton Orient v BlackpoolLeague OneOver 1.5 73.3%
14:00Plymouth Argyle v Huddersfield TownLeague OneOver 1.5 85.3%
14:00Sheffield Wednesday v AFC WimbledonLeague OneOver 1.5 75.1%
14:00Stockport County v BromleyLeague OneOver 1.5 88.4%
14:00Wigan Athletic v ReadingLeague OneOver 1.5 69.2%
14:00Wycombe Wanderers v Notts CountyLeague OneOver 1.5 66.9%
14:00Accrington Stanley v GillinghamLeague TwoOver 1.5 75.1%
14:00Colchester United v Exeter CityLeague TwoUnder 1.5 69.9%
14:00Crewe Alexandra v RochdaleLeague TwoOver 1.5 62%
14:00Grimsby Town v Northampton TownLeague TwoUnder 1.5 52.5%
14:00Newport County v York CityLeague TwoOver 1.5 80.1%
14:00Oldham Athletic v Cheltenham TownLeague TwoOver 1.5 81.5%
14:00Port Vale v ChesterfieldLeague TwoOver 1.5 56.6%
14:00Salford City v Crawley TownLeague TwoOver 1.5 73.3%
14:00Swindon Town v WalsallLeague TwoOver 1.5 62%
14:00Tranmere Rovers v BarnetLeague TwoOver 1.5 87.4%
14:00Aberdeen v St MirrenScottish PremiershipOver 1.5 64.5%
14:00Hibernian v FalkirkScottish PremiershipOver 1.5 75.1%
14:00Kilmarnock v MotherwellScottish PremiershipOver 1.5 80.1%
14:00St Johnstone v Dundee UnitedScottish PremiershipOver 1.5 69.2%
14:00Levadiakos v Volos NFCGreek Super LeagueOver 1.5 80.1%
14:00Kristiansund BK v AalesundEliteserienOver 1.5 85.3%
14:15Villarreal v ElcheLa LigaOver 1.5 88.4%
14:15Eibar v MallorcaLaLiga 2Under 1.5 59.2%
14:30ADO Den Haag v PSV EindhovenEredivisieOver 1.5 92.2%
15:00Austria Lustenau v LASK LinzAustrian BundesligaOver 1.5 90.8%
15:15Strasbourg v Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1Over 1.5 88.4%
15:15Mantova v PalermoSerie BOver 1.5 84.1%
15:30AIK v IFK GöteborgAllsvenskanOver 1.5 87.4%
15:40Neom SC v Al EttifaqSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 76.9%
16:00Bologna v InternazionaleSerie AOver 1.5 84.1%
16:00Fenerbahce v AlanyasporSuper LigOver 1.5 80.1%
16:00Viking FK v FredrikstadEliteserienOver 1.5 78.5%
16:30Newcastle United v Aston VillaPremier LeagueOver 1.5 86.4%
16:30Real Betis v BarcelonaLa LigaOver 1.5 88.4%
16:30Bayern Munich v RB LeipzigBundesligaOver 1.5 91.5%
16:30Sporting Gijón v AlbaceteLaLiga 2Over 1.5 73.3%
17:30Pisa v CremoneseSerie BOver 1.5 73.3%
17:30SV Josko Ried v Austria ViennaAustrian BundesligaOver 1.5 78.5%
18:00Telstar v Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieOver 1.5 81.5%
18:00Banfield v Argentinos JuniorsLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 69.2%
18:00Red Star FC 93 v Saint-ÉtienneLigue 2Over 1.5 80.1%
18:00Al Diriyah v Al TaawounSaudi Pro LeagueOver 1.5 53.7%
18:30Philadelphia Union v Charlotte FCMLSOver 1.5 87.4%
18:30Hannover 96 v St. Pauli2. BundesligaOver 1.5 69.2%
18:45AS Roma v GenoaSerie AOver 1.5 78.5%
18:45Lille v BrestLigue 1Over 1.5 73.3%
18:45Troyes v LensLigue 1Over 1.5 84.1%
19:00Valencia v Athletic ClubLa LigaOver 1.5 64.5%
19:00Sparta Rotterdam v Willem IIEredivisieOver 1.5 86.4%
19:00Dundee v RangersScottish PremiershipOver 1.5 76.9%
19:00Las Palmas v CastellónLaLiga 2Over 1.5 75.1%
20:00Boyacá Chicó FC v Atlético NacionalPrimera AOver 1.5 75.1%
20:30Minnesota United FC v St. Louis CITY SCMLSOver 1.5 91.5%
20:30Independiente Rivadavia v TigreLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 73.3%
20:30Platense v LanúsLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 59.4%
21:00Botafogo v ChapecoenseBrasileiraoOver 1.5 81.5%
21:30Atlético-MG v CoritibaBrasileiraoOver 1.5 81.5%
22:30Athletico-PR v PalmeirasBrasileiraoOver 1.5 73.3%
23:00Santos v QuerétaroLiga MXOver 1.5 64.5%
23:00Atlético Tucumán v Rosario CentralLiga ProfesionalOver 1.5 56.6%
23:00Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza)Liga ProfesionalOver 1.5 71.3%
23:07Guadalajara v Tigres UANLLiga MXOver 1.5 71.3%
23:30Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami CFMLSOver 1.5 89.3%
23:30New England Revolution v Chicago Fire FCMLSOver 1.5 81.5%
23:30New York City FC v LAFCMLSOver 1.5 64.5%
23:30Orlando City SC v D.C. UnitedMLSOver 1.5 90.1%
23:30Red Bull New York v Toronto FCMLSOver 1.5 76.9%
Sunday 18 October
00:00São Paulo v Vasco da GamaBrasileiraoOver 1.5 66.9%
00:30Austin FC v Vancouver WhitecapsMLSOver 1.5 81.5%
00:30Houston Dynamo FC v FC DallasMLSOver 1.5 71.3%
00:30Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt LakeMLSOver 1.5 84.1%
01:00León v AméricaLiga MXOver 1.5 78.5%
01:00Toluca v Atlético de San LuisLiga MXOver 1.5 89.3%
01:10Independiente Medellín v Once CaldasPrimera AOver 1.5 75.1%
02:00Wellington Phoenix FC v Melbourne VictoryA-League MenOver 1.5 82.9%
02:30LA Galaxy v San Diego FCMLSOver 1.5 86.4%
02:30Portland Timbers v Colorado RapidsMLSOver 1.5 80.1%
02:30San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SCMLSOver 1.5 78.5%
02:30Seattle Sounders FC v CF MontréalMLSOver 1.5 78.5%
03:10Cruz Azul v FC JuárezLiga MXOver 1.5 90.8%
04:55Fagiano Okayama v Vissel KobeJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 71.3%
07:00Machida Zelvia v Avispa FukuokaJ1 LeagueOver 1.5 76.9%
10:15PEC Zwolle v Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieOver 1.5 87.4%
10:30Udinese v LecceSerie AOver 1.5 75.1%
10:30Kasimpasa v SamsunsporSuper LigOver 1.5 73.3%
11:30Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabruck2. BundesligaOver 1.5 84.1%
11:30Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg2. BundesligaOver 1.5 84.1%
11:30Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 982. BundesligaOver 1.5 82.9%

How these predictions are made

Each team gets an expected goals figure from its recent attack and defence, weighted toward the latest matches and adjusted for home advantage. Adding the two gives the expected total, and a Poisson goals distribution turns that into the chance of two or more goals.

Questions

What does over 1.5 goals mean?

The match has two or more goals in total. A 1-1, 2-0 or 3-2 all win; a 0-0 or 1-0 lose.

Is over 1.5 goals a safe bet?

No bet is safe. Most football matches have two or more goals, but even an 85% pick loses about one time in seven.

How is over 1.5 different from over 2.5?

Over 2.5 needs three goals. Over 1.5 needs two, so it is more likely and pays shorter odds.

Other markets

BTTS predictions · Over 2.5 goals predictions · Correct score predictions · Draw predictions · All football predictions · Full track record

Probabilities are model estimates for information only, not betting advice. 18+. Gamble responsibly.