SV Josko Ried vs Austria Vienna prediction: SV Josko Ried to win 2-1 as model gives 39.9% chance

Austrian Bundesliga sees SV Josko Ried face Austria Vienna at Innviertel Arena. The model makes SV Josko Ried the favourite, assigning a narrow 39.9% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is SV Josko Ried 39.9%, draw 29%, Austria Vienna 31.1%.

SV Josko Ried have generated 1.40 goals per game (0.97x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.44 conceded per game. Austria Vienna average 1.12 scored (0.77x average) and are a leaky defence at 1.71 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.9 for SV Josko Ried and 1 for Austria Vienna.

On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (54.8%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 2-0 the leading candidates.

Verdict: SV Josko Ried to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 39.9% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.

Head-to-head & form · More predictions · Austrian Bundesliga