MLS predictions
13 upcoming MLS fixtures previewed below, ranked by model confidence. Each probability comes from a Dixon-Coles goals model blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices, refreshed every 20 minutes and scored publicly on the track record page once the result is in.
- Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: Nashville SC to win 3-0 as model gives 76.3% chance — MLS, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
- St. Louis CITY SC vs LA Galaxy prediction: St. Louis CITY SC to win 2-1 as model gives 52.8% chance — MLS, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC
- Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC prediction: Inter Miami CF to win 2-1 as model gives 50.8% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
- Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Colorado Rapids to win 2-1 as model gives 48.2% chance — MLS, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 01:30 UTC
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction: FC Dallas to win 2-1 as model gives 45.9% chance — MLS, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
- D.C. United vs Red Bull New York prediction: D.C. United to win 1-0 as model gives 43.1% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
- LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction: LAFC narrow favourites at 42.4% — MLS, Sun, 11 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC
- Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC prediction: Charlotte FC to win 1-2 as model gives 41.1% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
- Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction: Philadelphia Union to win 1-2 as model gives 40.5% chance — MLS, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
- FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution prediction: New England Revolution to win 1-2 as model gives 39.8% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
- St. Louis CITY SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction: St. Louis CITY SC to win 2-1 as model gives 37.8% chance — MLS, Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
- Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC prediction: Orlando City SC to win 1-2 as model gives 37.7% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
- CF Montréal vs Atlanta United FC prediction: CF Montréal to win 2-1 as model gives 36.9% chance — MLS, Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
How to read these MLS previews: the headline pick is the outcome with the highest probability, not a guarantee. Draws in football sit near 25-30% in most games, so a 45% favourite is still a real favourite. The most likely scoreline is the single most probable exact score and will usually be under 10% on its own.