Championship predictions: every match from 13 October to 14 October 2026

12 Championship fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 1 clear favourites, 11 games the model calls close.

Twelve Championship matches run from Tuesday to Wednesday with most projected as open contests. The probabilities show just one strong favourite and a cluster of results near coin-flip territory, so recent form streaks and expected goal splits matter more than usual.

Norwich City against Southampton

Norwich City43%vSouthampton33%Norwich City to win · 43%

Norwich sit at 43 per cent to win at home while Southampton trail at 33 per cent. The draw sits on 24 per cent. Expected goals of 1.5 for Norwich and 2.2 for Southampton drive the 71 per cent probability of over 2.5 goals and the 69.8 per cent chance both teams score. Norwich arrive with two wins and three losses in their last five after a defeat, while Southampton have three wins, one draw and one loss following their latest victory. BBC Sport notes Southampton beat Portsmouth 1-0 in their first outing after the Spygate matter concluded.

The projection therefore leans toward an open, high-scoring game rather than a controlled home win. Norwich must improve their recent inconsistency to turn the narrow edge into three points.

Burnley face Charlton Athletic

Burnley hold 63.3 per cent to beat Charlton. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 and over 2.5 goals sits at 49.7 per cent. Burnley enter with one win, two draws and two losses in the last five after a victory. Charlton have no wins, three draws and two losses following their latest draw. The numbers give Burnley a clear but not overwhelming advantage that rests on keeping the game tight.

Wolves meet Bolton Wanderers

Wolverhampton Wanderers reach 75.3 per cent to win against Bolton. The most likely score is 2-1 and over 2.5 goals reaches 76.9 per cent. Wolves have two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five after a defeat. Bolton carry two wins and three losses after their own defeat. This remains the only match the model marks as a strong favourite.

Remaining fixtures

Bristol City v Blackburn Rovers, Bristol City 51.3% Cardiff City v Watford, Cardiff City 60.7% Millwall v Swansea City, Millwall 36.2% Wrexham v West Bromwich Albion, Wrexham 41% Birmingham City v Preston North End, Birmingham City 62.7% Middlesbrough v Stoke City, Middlesbrough 55.4% Portsmouth v Sheffield United, Portsmouth 45.4% Queens Park Rangers v Derby County, Queens Park Rangers 58.3% West Ham United v Lincoln City, West Ham United 64%