NFL predictions: every match from 9 October to 12 October 2026

14 NFL fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 0 clear favourites, 14 games the model calls close.

The 14 fixtures carry no clear favourite at 65 per cent or higher, so each rests on narrow edges and recent sequences rather than any dominant projection.

Dallas Cowboys host Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dallas Cowboys51.6%16-24Tampa Bay Buccaneers42.4%Cowboys to win · 51.6%

Dallas Cowboys sit at 51.6 per cent, a marginal favourite close to a coin flip against Tampa Bay Buccaneers on 42.4 per cent. The Cowboys enter with two wins and three losses in the last five after a latest victory, while the Buccaneers sit on zero wins and five losses after their most recent defeat. CBS Sports reports that Dallas carries an efficient scoring attack into the contest against an 0-4 Tampa Bay side. Yahoo Sports notes the Cowboys defence can build on recent work and that adjustments are planned for field goal protection after recent blocks. The narrow probability leaves little margin if either side deviates from its recent pattern.

Yahoo Sports also flags that the Cowboys will move pieces in their protection unit ahead of kick-off. The projection therefore rests on small advantages in form and preparation rather than any overwhelming edge.

Jacksonville Jaguars meet Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars hold 54 per cent as slight favourites over the Eagles. The Jaguars show four wins and one loss in the last five after a latest win, while the Eagles sit on two wins and three losses after their most recent defeat. ESPN notes the Jaguars will play 26 of their next 30 regular-season games away from home, underlining the road demands already faced this season. Yahoo Sports adds that the Jaguars defence has allowed just 53 points all season, a figure that supports their narrow projection here.

Green Bay Packers visit Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers stand at 50.6 per cent, a marginal favourite close to a coin flip against the Bears. The Packers record three wins and two losses in the last five after a latest win, while the Bears hold four wins and one loss after their most recent victory. Yahoo Sports reports that the Packers have signed a new linebacker after an Achilles injury to a key starter and have eligible players returning from injured reserve, including a wide receiver.

Houston Texans host Tennessee

Houston Texans are marginal favourites at 52.4 per cent. Both sides enter with zero wins and five losses in the last five after latest defeats. Yahoo Sports lists the main storylines and key matchups for this AFC South pairing of two winless sides.

Remaining fixtures

Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles, Jacksonville Jaguars, 54% Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, 50.6% Houston Texans v Tennessee, Houston Texans, 52.4% Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals, Miami Dolphins, 53.4% New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders, New England Patriots, 63.8% New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings, New Orleans Saints, 48.7% New York Jets v Cleveland Browns, New York Jets, 49.4% Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts, Pittsburgh Steelers, 54.3% Washington Commanders v New York Giants, Washington Commanders, 53.5% Los Angeles Chargers v Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, 49.4% Detroit Lions v Arizona Cardinals, Detroit Lions, 49.4% Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, 53.9% Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens, Atlanta Falcons, 52.1%