Serie A: Inter stand out as strongest favourite

Four sides sit at 65 per cent or higher to win their matches this weekend while Como versus Roma remains finely balanced.

Eight Serie A fixtures run from Saturday into Sunday, and the numbers single out four clear favourites while leaving the rest more open. Inter Milan top that group at 89.5 per cent to beat Parma, followed by Napoli and Juventus, with Lazio also above the 65 per cent mark. The remaining matches sit closer to even.

Inter look dominant against Parma

Inter have lost just once in their last five league games and hold a 4-1-0 record in that stretch. The projection gives them the highest win probability of the round at 89.5 per cent, with a most likely score of 2-0 and over 2.5 goals at 67.5 per cent. Parma arrive with only one win in their last five.

Napoli host Frosinone

Napoli sit at 78.7 per cent to win at home. Their most likely scoreline is 1-0 and the over 2.5 goals line sits at 39.7 per cent. Scott McTominay has returned to training after heart surgery, according to BBC Sport and multiple reports, which should help squad depth. Frosinone have three wins in their last five but face a steep task on the road.

Juventus travel to Cagliari

Juventus hold 72.7 per cent to win away. The most likely score is 0-1 and over 2.5 goals is just 31 per cent. Reports from Yahoo Sports note Juventus directors watched Italy forward Romano recently, while the club also monitors Inter's Hakan Calhanoglu, whose contract enters its final year.

Roma test for Como

Como32.9%vAS Roma39.7%AS Roma to win · 39.7%

Como sit at 39.1 per cent to beat Roma, with the draw at 26.6 per cent and Roma at 34.3 per cent. Expected goals are 1.2 for Como and 1.4 for Roma, while both teams to score is 53.7 per cent. Como hold a 3-1-1 record in their last five games, Roma a 4-1-0 mark. Como director Ludi told reporters the side wants to show its strength against Roma, per Yahoo Sports, after last season's Champions League qualification.

Lazio and Bologna hold clear edges

Lazio are 67.6 per cent to beat Monza, with over 2.5 goals at 69.5 per cent. Bologna sit at 62 per cent to win at Lecce, where the most likely score is 0-1 and over 2.5 goals only 33.7 per cent.

Remaining fixtures

Sassuolo v AC Milan, Milan to win, 62.8% Fiorentina v Genoa, Fiorentina to win, 51.4%