Formula 1 predictions 2026

Win and podium probabilities for every Grand Prix from a driver and car rating model, updated with the qualifying grid, plus championship standings and a public record of every pick.

Next race: Singapore Grand Prix, 2026-10-11

Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 27.7%, podium 66.6%
George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 15.1%, podium 46.2%
Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 12.2%, podium 35.7%
Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 8%, podium 26%
Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 7.6%, podium 25%
Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 7.5%, podium 25.7%
Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 5.7%, podium 18.5%
Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 5%, podium 17.1%
Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 1.3%, podium 4.6%
Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 1.2%, podium 3.2%

Full Singapore Grand Prix prediction

Drivers championship

1. Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes Formula 1 Team: 320 pts
2. George Russell, Mercedes Formula 1 Team: 236 pts
3. Lewis Hamilton, Scuderia Ferrari: 214 pts
4. Charles Leclerc, Scuderia Ferrari: 191 pts
5. Lando Norris, McLaren Formula 1 Team: 188 pts
6. Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing: 188 pts
7. Oscar Piastri, McLaren Formula 1 Team: 128 pts
8. Isack Hadjar, Red Bull Racing: 96 pts
9. Liam Lawson, RB F1 Team: 65 pts
10. Pierre Gasly, Alpine F1 Team: 41 pts

Record this season: winner picked 11 of 16 with the grid known, 4 of 16 before qualifying.