AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Australian Grand Prix prediction: George Russell 32.1% to win after qualifying

Round 1 · Albert Park Circuit · Australia · Race 2026-03-08 04:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 32.1%, podium 75.9%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 16.9%, podium 52%, points 100%, grid P5
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 15.4%, podium 48.6%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 14.3%, podium 45.5%, points 99.9%, grid P6
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 9.4%, podium 34.3%, points 99.8%, grid P4
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 4.6%, podium 16.5%, points 97.8%, grid P3
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 3%, podium 10.8%, points 93.5%, grid P7
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 1.2%, podium 4.4%, points 65.6%, grid P8
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.9%, podium 3%, points 56.9%, grid P9
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 2%, points 34.7%, grid P11
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 2%, points 40.1%, grid P10
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.1%, points 18.8%, grid P13
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 14.9%, grid P20
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 1.1%, points 25.1%, grid P12
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.3%, points 6.1%, grid P17
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 12.2%, grid P14
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 12.3%, grid P15
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.6%, grid P16
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 2.2%, grid P21
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 10.1%, grid P18
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 1.3%, grid P22
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 2.4%, grid P19

Result

  • P1 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P3 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P4 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P7
  • P5 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P6 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P20
  • P7 Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team) from P12
  • P8 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P9
  • P9 Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team) from P10
  • P10 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P14