Austrian Grand Prix prediction: George Russell 32.9% to win after qualifying
Round 8 · Red Bull Ring · Austria · Race 2026-06-28 13:00:00Z UTC
Win and podium probabilities
- George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 32.9%, podium 77.1%, points 100%, grid P1
- Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 16%, podium 50.7%, points 100%, grid P4
- Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 15.6%, podium 48.8%, points 100%, grid P2
- Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 14.4%, podium 46.1%, points 100%, grid P3
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 6.9%, podium 25.2%, points 99.6%, grid P5
- Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 6%, podium 20.4%, points 99.1%, grid P6
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 4.4%, podium 16%, points 98.4%, grid P7
- Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 1.5%, podium 6.1%, points 83.4%, grid P8
- Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 3%, points 56.4%, grid P9
- Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 1.7%, points 42.3%, grid P10
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.4%, points 36.5%, grid P11
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.8%, points 20.6%, grid P12
- Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.5%, points 11.2%, grid P14
- Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 17.7%, grid P13
- Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.5%, points 10.1%, grid P15
- Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 8%, grid P16
- Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 3.9%, grid P18
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P21
- Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.3%, grid P17
- Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.4%, grid P19
- Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.9%, grid P20
- Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.2%, grid P22
Result
- P1 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
- P2 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P5
- P3 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P4
- P4 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P7
- P5 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P3
- P6 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P8
- P7 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P6
- P8 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P2
- P9 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P9
- P10 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P10