AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Azerbaijan Grand Prix prediction: George Russell 40.4% to win after qualifying

Round 15 · Baku City Circuit · Azerbaijan · Race 2026-09-26 11:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 40.4%, podium 84.7%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 18.1%, podium 57.4%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 12.8%, podium 43.9%, points 99.9%, grid P3
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 9.4%, podium 36.3%, points 99.7%, grid P5
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 6.7%, podium 26.1%, points 99.5%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 5.3%, podium 20.9%, points 98.2%, grid P6
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 2.7%, podium 12.4%, points 94.2%, grid P8
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 1.3%, podium 4.9%, points 71.3%, grid P7
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 0.8%, podium 2.6%, points 45.7%, grid P16
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.6%, podium 2.4%, points 42.4%, grid P9
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 2.5%, points 38%, grid P12
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 2.2%, points 37.7%, grid P10
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.3%, podium 0.9%, points 14.5%, grid P13
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 10.2%, grid P15
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 1.3%, points 25.2%, grid P11
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 9.6%, grid P14
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 2.1%, grid P20
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 4.3%, grid P17
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.3%, points 3%, grid P18
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.4%, grid P19
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.5%, grid P21
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 0.9%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P8
  • P3 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P4
  • P4 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P2
  • P5 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P16
  • P6 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P6
  • P7 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P15
  • P8 Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team) from P13
  • P9 Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team) from P10
  • P10 Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing) from P14