AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia prediction: Max Verstappen 28.2% to win after qualifying

Round 16 · Sepang International Circuit · Malaysia · Race 2026-10-04 UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 28.2%, podium 70.8%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 20.6%, podium 59.5%, points 100%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 17%, podium 51.8%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 9.9%, podium 32.9%, points 99.9%, grid P3
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 7.5%, podium 25.2%, points 99.4%, grid P5
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 6.2%, podium 21.3%, points 98.9%, grid P6
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 5.3%, podium 19%, points 98.8%, grid P8
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 3.1%, podium 11.2%, points 95.6%, grid P7
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.7%, podium 2.6%, points 53.8%, grid P9
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 1.7%, points 36.3%, grid P11
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.2%, points 36%, grid P10
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 0.9%, points 19.9%, grid P12
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 9.4%, grid P16
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.4%, points 10.9%, grid P14
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 10.1%, grid P15
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 2.7%, grid P19
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 15.6%, grid P13
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 4.5%, grid P17
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 3.8%, grid P18
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 0.9%, grid P22
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0%, podium 0.2%, points 2%, grid P20
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.6%, grid P21

Result

  • P1 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P1
  • P2 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P3
  • P3 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P2
  • P4 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P5 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P8
  • P6 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P7 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P11
  • P8 Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team) from P12
  • P9 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P5
  • P10 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P22