AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Belgian Grand Prix prediction: Andrea Kimi Antonelli 36.2% to win after qualifying

Round 10 · Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps · Belgium · Race 2026-07-19 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 36.2%, podium 80.5%, points 100%, grid P1
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 15.5%, podium 50%, points 100%, grid P4
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 15.2%, podium 49.6%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 12.6%, podium 43.4%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 6.7%, podium 26%, points 99.7%, grid P5
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 6%, podium 22.4%, points 99.5%, grid P6
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 4.2%, podium 14.3%, points 97.3%, grid P7
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 1%, podium 3.7%, points 67.5%, grid P10
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 1%, podium 3.7%, points 67.7%, grid P8
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 1.7%, points 42.1%, grid P9
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.1%, points 25.4%, grid P12
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.5%, points 37.1%, grid P11
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 18.3%, grid P13
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 12%, grid P14
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 9.3%, grid P15
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 4%, grid P18
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.3%, points 7.5%, grid P16
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 5.6%, grid P17
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.8%, grid P19
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P21
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.6%, grid P20
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.2%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P3 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P2
  • P4 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P5
  • P5 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P6 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P21
  • P7 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P13
  • P8 Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team) from P8
  • P9 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P7
  • P10 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P11