AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Chinese Grand Prix prediction: George Russell 25.1% to win after qualifying

Round 2 · Shanghai International Circuit · China · Race 2026-03-15 07:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 25.1%, podium 66.8%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 25%, podium 65.3%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 11.4%, podium 37%, points 100%, grid P5
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 10.4%, podium 34.7%, points 99.8%, grid P6
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 10.1%, podium 32%, points 99.9%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 9.3%, podium 32.4%, points 99.9%, grid P3
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 4.9%, podium 16.3%, points 98.1%, grid P8
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 1.1%, podium 4.4%, points 69.7%, grid P7
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 1%, podium 4.1%, points 70.9%, grid P9
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.8%, points 42.8%, grid P10
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1%, points 19.7%, grid P12
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.5%, points 30.6%, grid P11
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 10.3%, grid P15
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 18.5%, grid P13
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.4%, points 6.7%, grid P16
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 14.4%, grid P14
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.2%, grid P17
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 4.3%, grid P18
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.1%, grid P20
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.3%, grid P22
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 3.3%, grid P19
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 1.8%, grid P21

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P3 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P3
  • P4 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P5 Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team) from P10
  • P6 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P7
  • P7 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P14
  • P8 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P9
  • P9 Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing) from P17
  • P10 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P12