AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Dutch Grand Prix prediction: Lando Norris 26.7% to win after qualifying

Round 12 · Circuit Zandvoort · Netherlands · Race 2026-08-23 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 26.7%, podium 69.4%, points 100%, grid P1
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 23.6%, podium 64.7%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 19.8%, podium 60.1%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 8.9%, podium 30.2%, points 99.8%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 8.1%, podium 27.7%, points 99.9%, grid P5
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 5.8%, podium 21%, points 99.5%, grid P6
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 3.8%, podium 14.7%, points 98.1%, grid P7
  • Liam Lawson (Red Bull Racing): win 1%, podium 3.5%, points 70.8%, grid P8
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.5%, podium 1.9%, points 46.4%, grid P10
  • tsunoda (RB F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.2%, points 38.4%, grid P12
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.3%, points 33.2%, grid P11
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.9%, points 49.4%, grid P9
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.5%, points 17%, grid P13
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 13.7%, grid P14
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.4%, points 10.1%, grid P15
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.2%, grid P17
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.5%, grid P16
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 3.7%, grid P18
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.3%, grid P22
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.5%, grid P19
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.2%, points 2%, grid P20
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.7%, grid P21

Result

  • P1 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P3
  • P3 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P4 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P5
  • P5 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P6
  • P6 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P4
  • P7 Liam Lawson (Red Bull Racing) from P8
  • P8 Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team) from P13
  • P9 Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team) from P18
  • P10 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P11