AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Gran D'Italia prediction: George Russell 30.6% to win after qualifying

Round 13 · Autodromo Nazionale Monza · Italy · Race 2026-09-06 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 30.6%, podium 73.3%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 14.7%, podium 46.3%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 13.5%, podium 42.4%, points 99.9%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 11%, podium 35.6%, points 99.5%, grid P5
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 9.4%, podium 30.3%, points 99.4%, grid P7
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 8.4%, podium 27.4%, points 99.3%, grid P1
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 5.7%, podium 20.4%, points 98.6%, grid P6
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 3.6%, podium 12.4%, points 93%, grid P9
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.8%, podium 3.5%, points 56.8%, grid P8
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.7%, podium 2.5%, points 40.4%, grid P10
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.3%, points 25.6%, grid P11
  • Liam Lawson (Red Bull Racing): win 0.3%, podium 1%, points 22.6%, grid P14
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.1%, points 20.1%, grid P12
  • tsunoda (RB F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.4%, points 5.1%, grid P17
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.2%, podium 0.5%, points 8.4%, grid P15
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.2%, podium 0.2%, points 3.7%, grid P18
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.9%, points 15.5%, grid P13
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 2.2%, grid P19
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.2%, points 6.2%, grid P16
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.5%, grid P20
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P21
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.1%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P19
  • P2 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P3 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P5
  • P4 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P8
  • P5 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P6 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P7 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P1
  • P8 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P9
  • P9 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P7
  • P10 Yuki Tsunoda (RB F1 Team) from P15