AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Gran Premio de Barcelona-Catalunya prediction: George Russell 29.8% to win after qualifying

Round 7 · Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya · Spain · Race 2026-06-14 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 29.8%, podium 75.7%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 26.2%, podium 68.7%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 16.9%, podium 53.4%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 9.4%, podium 34.6%, points 100%, grid P4
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 6.5%, podium 24.2%, points 99.7%, grid P5
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 4.6%, podium 16%, points 98%, grid P7
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 2.9%, podium 11.4%, points 93.5%, grid P6
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 1.4%, podium 5.5%, points 81%, grid P10
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.8%, podium 3.7%, points 67.7%, grid P8
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.9%, points 43.4%, grid P9
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 16.7%, grid P13
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 1.3%, points 31.8%, grid P11
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.8%, points 20%, grid P12
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 10.4%, grid P15
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.6%, points 14.3%, grid P14
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 8.1%, grid P16
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.1%, points 4.8%, grid P17
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 2.7%, grid P19
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 3.9%, grid P18
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.5%, grid P20
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.5%, grid P21
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P2
  • P2 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P3 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P4
  • P4 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P5
  • P5 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P7
  • P6 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P6
  • P7 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P14
  • P8 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P13
  • P9 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P8
  • P10 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P11