AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Gran Premio de España prediction: Andrea Kimi Antonelli 32.1% to win after qualifying

Round 14 · Circuito de Madring · Spain · Race 2026-09-13 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 32.1%, podium 77.9%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 27.2%, podium 71.1%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 10.7%, podium 39.1%, points 99.9%, grid P3
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 9.5%, podium 34.6%, points 100%, grid P4
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 7.7%, podium 27.9%, points 99.9%, grid P6
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 5.9%, podium 23.4%, points 99.7%, grid P5
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 3.6%, podium 12.7%, points 97.6%, grid P7
  • Liam Lawson (Red Bull Racing): win 1.4%, podium 5%, points 83.7%, grid P8
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.5%, podium 2.2%, points 52.2%, grid P9
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.7%, points 46.3%, grid P10
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.3%, points 30.9%, grid P11
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1%, points 22.9%, grid P12
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 16.5%, grid P13
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 15.3%, grid P14
  • tsunoda (RB F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 10.3%, grid P15
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 7.6%, grid P16
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 6%, grid P17
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.3%, grid P22
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 3.8%, grid P18
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 1.9%, grid P20
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.2%, points 2.8%, grid P19
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.7%, grid P21

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P2 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P3
  • P3 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P4 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P5
  • P5 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P6 Liam Lawson (Red Bull Racing) from P8
  • P7 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P9
  • P8 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P7
  • P9 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P10
  • P10 Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team) from P11