AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Hungarian Grand Prix prediction: Lando Norris 25% to win after qualifying

Round 11 · Hungaroring · Hungary · Race 2026-07-26 13:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 25%, podium 65.4%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 22%, podium 60%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 16%, podium 49.6%, points 100%, grid P4
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 14.8%, podium 45.6%, points 99.9%, grid P3
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 6.7%, podium 24.1%, points 99.4%, grid P5
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 6.3%, podium 20.4%, points 99.2%, grid P7
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 4.7%, podium 18.5%, points 99.3%, grid P6
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 1.8%, podium 7%, points 87%, grid P8
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.7%, podium 2.8%, points 56.2%, grid P9
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.5%, podium 1.1%, points 24.9%, grid P12
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.5%, points 36.6%, grid P11
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.4%, points 34.2%, grid P10
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 0.8%, points 18.7%, grid P13
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 12.1%, grid P14
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.9%, grid P16
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 9.4%, grid P15
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 3.8%, grid P18
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 5.3%, grid P17
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.9%, grid P20
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2.9%, grid P19
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P21
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.1%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P4
  • P3 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P7
  • P4 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P2
  • P5 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P5
  • P6 Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing) from P8
  • P7 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P6
  • P8 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P11
  • P9 Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team) from P10
  • P10 Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team) from P9