AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.4%

Japanese Grand Prix prediction: Andrea Kimi Antonelli 29.1% to win after qualifying

Round 3 · Suzuka International Circuit · Japan · Race 2026-03-29 05:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 29.1%, podium 74.1%, points 100%, grid P1
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 27.8%, podium 71.7%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 14%, podium 49.1%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 10.3%, podium 35.4%, points 99.9%, grid P5
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 9.2%, podium 32.2%, points 99.9%, grid P4
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 4.1%, podium 15.6%, points 97.7%, grid P6
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 1.5%, podium 5.7%, points 79.3%, grid P8
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 1.3%, podium 5.1%, points 79.2%, grid P11
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.9%, podium 3.7%, points 70.9%, grid P7
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.5%, podium 1.7%, points 43.5%, grid P9
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 1.8%, points 42.2%, grid P10
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1%, points 22%, grid P12
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 14.6%, grid P14
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.4%, points 8.7%, grid P15
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.2%, podium 0.3%, points 5.9%, grid P17
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.6%, points 15.2%, grid P13
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.5%, points 9.6%, grid P16
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 2.2%, grid P19
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 4.6%, grid P18
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.8%, grid P21
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.7%, grid P20
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 1.4%, grid P22

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P3
  • P3 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P4
  • P4 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P2
  • P5 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P5
  • P6 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P6
  • P7 Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team) from P7
  • P8 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P11
  • P9 Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team) from P14
  • P10 Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team) from P12