AI Prediction
Model hit rate 53.3%

Miami Grand Prix prediction: Andrea Kimi Antonelli 33.8% to win after qualifying

Round 4 · Miami International Autodrome · United States · Race 2026-05-03 20:00:00Z UTC

Win and podium probabilities

  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 33.8%, podium 78.1%, points 100%, grid P1
  • Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing): win 17.7%, podium 53.9%, points 100%, grid P2
  • Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari): win 13.4%, podium 44.2%, points 100%, grid P3
  • Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 12.3%, podium 42.9%, points 100%, grid P4
  • George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team): win 10.9%, podium 38.4%, points 100%, grid P5
  • Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team): win 4.9%, podium 17.1%, points 99.4%, grid P7
  • Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari): win 4.2%, podium 14.2%, points 98.3%, grid P6
  • Pierre Gasly (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.6%, podium 2%, points 56.3%, grid P9
  • Liam Lawson (RB F1 Team): win 0.5%, podium 1.6%, points 37%, grid P11
  • Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team): win 0.4%, podium 2.6%, points 61.5%, grid P8
  • Oliver Bearman (Haas F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 0.8%, points 31.5%, grid P12
  • Nico Hulkenberg (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0.3%, podium 1.6%, points 41.5%, grid P10
  • Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing): win 0.2%, podium 0.7%, points 22.5%, grid P13
  • Esteban Ocon (Haas F1 Team): win 0.2%, podium 0.6%, points 15.2%, grid P14
  • Alex Albon (Williams Racing): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 10.9%, grid P15
  • Arvid Lindblad (RB F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.4%, points 8.1%, grid P16
  • Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.3%, points 6.4%, grid P17
  • Lance Stroll (Aston Martin F1 Team): win 0.1%, podium 0.2%, points 4.6%, grid P18
  • Gabriel Bortoleto (Audi Revolut F1 Team): win 0%, podium 0%, points 1.6%, grid P21
  • Sergio Pérez (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 2%, grid P20
  • Valtteri Bottas (Cadillac Formula 1 Team): win 0%, podium 0.1%, points 3.3%, grid P19
  • Isack Hadjar (Red Bull Racing): win 0%, podium 0%, points 0%, grid P99

Result

  • P1 Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P1
  • P2 Lando Norris (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P4
  • P3 Oscar Piastri (McLaren Formula 1 Team) from P7
  • P4 George Russell (Mercedes Formula 1 Team) from P5
  • P5 Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) from P2
  • P6 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari) from P6
  • P7 Franco Colapinto (Alpine F1 Team) from P8
  • P8 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari) from P3
  • P9 Carlos Sainz (Williams Racing) from P13
  • P10 Alex Albon (Williams Racing) from P15