South Africa vs Australia prediction: South Africa narrow favourites at 45.4%
Australia tour of South Africa 2026/27: South Africa host Australia at Newlands, Cape Town in a Test (3rd Test). Our ratings make South Africa the favourite at 45.4%, with the draw at 11.8%.
The red-ball ratings have South Africa on 1702 and Australia on 1711, a gap of 9 points before a small home advantage is added. Recent red-ball form, most recent first: South Africa WLWWW, Australia LWWLW.
In their last 10 meetings in this format South Africa won 5, Australia won 4 and 1 ended drawn.
Verdict: South Africa to win at 45.4%. Ratings are built from every men's and women's match since 2018 and update after each result, so a side's last few games count for more than its reputation.