Tasmania vs New South Wales prediction: draw the most likely outcome in a tight contest (40.5%)
Sheffield Shield: Tasmania host New South Wales at Bellerive Oval, Hobart in a First-class (8th Match). Our ratings make Tasmania the favourite at 35.7%, with the draw at 40.5%.
The red-ball ratings have Tasmania on 1517 and New South Wales on 1457, a gap of 61 points. Recent red-ball form, most recent first: Tasmania WDWLD, New South Wales DDDLD.
In their last 10 meetings in this format Tasmania won 4, New South Wales won 2 and 4 ended drawn.
Verdict: Tasmania to win at 35.7%. Ratings are built from every men's and women's match since 2018 and update after each result, so a side's last few games count for more than its reputation.