Santos vs Flamengo result: 2-2 as Flamengo were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Santos 2-2 Flamengo. We tipped Flamengo at 56% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Flamengo sit top and carry stronger underlying numbers into this meeting at the bottom end of the table.
Flamengo arrive as the side with the clearer statistical profile in a match where both teams enter on long winning runs. Santos sit eighth after 28 games while Flamengo lead the standings by a wide margin, and the visitors also hold the higher Elo rating.
Santos and Flamengo records before kick-off
Santos have collected 41 points from their 28 matches and occupy eighth place. Their season record stands at 11 wins, eight draws and nine defeats. The home side have won their last five games in succession.
Flamengo have 60 points from the same number of fixtures and sit first. Their record reads 18 wins, six draws and four defeats. They too have taken five straight victories, the most recent also a win. The two clubs have met three times in recent seasons, with Flamengo taking two of those encounters.
Selection picture and confirmed details
Line-ups remain unconfirmed for this fixture. No team news has emerged that would alter the expected starting groups.
The only fresh reporting around Santos concerns a new sponsorship agreement for the shorts that runs until the end of 2027, but this has no bearing on personnel choices.
Projection and market comparison
Our numbers give Flamengo a 56 per cent chance of victory, which marks them as slight favourites. Santos are projected at 18.9 per cent while a draw sits at 25.1 per cent. Expected goals stand at 1 for the home side and 1.8 for Flamengo, pointing to a most likely scoreline of 1-2.
Bookmaker averages imply a narrower margin, listing Flamengo at 51.3 per cent. Over 2.5 goals carries a 53.6 per cent probability and both teams to score is rated at 54.8 per cent. Flamengo’s 95-point Elo advantage supplies the largest single separation between the sides.
Flamengo to win at 56 per cent
Flamengo to win is the pick at 56 per cent . The visitors’ superior expected goals and higher league position supply the clearest weight behind that call. The main way the result slips away is if Santos convert one of their limited chances on the break and keep a clean sheet. The goals markets add only modest support, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each rated just above even money.
Reporting referenced: Yahoo Sports, Yahoo Sports.
Team news
- Philippe Coutinho reveals Neymar's 'important role' in Santos transfer — Philippe Coutinho has said his former Brazil teammate Neymar played a "very important role" in him signing for Santos. (ESPN, 2026-09-15)
- Former Liverpool, Barcelona midfielder Philippe Coutinho set to join Neymar at Santos — Philippe Coutinho is set to play for Santos for the remainder of the year. (ESPN, 2026-09-14)
- Neymar set to be sidelined until October with muscular injury — Neymar is expected to be sidelined for at least a month with a muscular injury. (ESPN, 2026-09-07)
- Neymar slams state of Palmeiras pitch after injury but Brazilian club fire back at Santos star — Neymar criticised the state of the Vila Belmiro pitch after sustaining a right thigh injury during Wednesday's Brazilian Cup game against Palmeiras. (ESPN, 2026-09-04)
- Santos' Neymar in tears after going off at half-time with another injury — Neymar had to be replaced at half-time of Santos' goalless draw against Palmeiras in Wednesday's Brazilian Cup game with a suspected right thigh injury. (ESPN, 2026-09-03)
- Neymar says Santos 'no longer a powerhouse' in Brazil — Neymar is drawing little comfort from Santos' 1-0 league win over Corinthians, fearing the club could end up again in a battle against relegation. (ESPN, 2026-08-31)