Talleres (Córdoba) vs Defensa y Justicia prediction: Talleres (Córdoba) narrow favourites at 50.3%
Liga Profesional sees Talleres (Córdoba) face Defensa y Justicia at Mario Alberto Kempes. The model makes Talleres (Córdoba) the favourite, assigning a slight 50.3% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Talleres (Córdoba) 50.3%, draw 23.4%, Defensa y Justicia 26.3%.
Talleres (Córdoba) have generated 0.86 goals per game (0.78x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.23 conceded per game. Defensa y Justicia average 1.27 scored (1.15x average) and are a steady defence at 1.07 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.9 for Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.3 for Defensa y Justicia.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 61.9%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (45.4%).
Verdict: Talleres (Córdoba) to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 50.3% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.