Rosario Central vs Huracán prediction: Rosario Central to win 1-0 as model gives 61.6% chance
Liga Profesional sees Rosario Central face Huracán at Gigante de Arroyito. The model makes Rosario Central the favourite, assigning a clear 61.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Rosario Central 61.6%, draw 23.1%, Huracán 15.3%.
Rosario Central have generated 1.52 goals per game (1.37x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.87 conceded per game. Huracán average 0.97 scored (0.88x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.95 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.5 for Rosario Central and 0.7 for Huracán.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 63.6%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 39.8%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-0, with 1-0, 1-1, 0-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Rosario Central to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 61.6% confidence. A 1-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Ángel Di María receives ovation from Rosario Central fans during tribute to Lionel Messi — Ángel Di María received an impromptu ovation from Rosario Central fans during the one-minute tribute to his former teammate Lionel Messi. (ESPN, 2026-09-07)