Estudiantes de La Plata vs Instituto (Córdoba) prediction: Estudiantes de La Plata to win 1-0 as model gives 46.6% chance
Liga Profesional sees Estudiantes de La Plata face Instituto (Córdoba) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. The model makes Estudiantes de La Plata the favourite, assigning a slight 46.6% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Estudiantes de La Plata 46.6%, draw 24.8%, Instituto (Córdoba) 28.6%.
Estudiantes de La Plata have generated 1.19 goals per game (1.08x the league average) and are a steady defence at 1.10 conceded per game. Instituto (Córdoba) average 1.37 scored (1.25x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.84 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for Estudiantes de La Plata and 1.2 for Instituto (Córdoba).
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a tighter, lower-scoring game (Under 2.5 at 61%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (46.7%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-0, with 1-1, 0-0, 0-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Estudiantes de La Plata to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 46.6% confidence. A 1-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Can Argentina's Estudiantes stop Brazil's Libertadores juggernaut? — Brazilian clubs have won the last seven Copa Libertadores titles, but Argentina's Estudiantes de La Plata are determined to keep that streak from reaching eight. (ESPN, 2026-10-14)