IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Häcken result: 0-0 as BK Häcken were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: IF Brommapojkarna 0-0 BK Häcken. We tipped BK Häcken at 66.5% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Allsvenskan sees IF Brommapojkarna face BK Häcken at Grimsta IP. The model makes BK Häcken the favourite, assigning a clear 66.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is IF Brommapojkarna 9.3%, draw 24.2%, BK Häcken 66.5%.
IF Brommapojkarna have generated 1.62 goals per game (1.14x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.76 conceded per game. BK Häcken average 1.87 scored (1.31x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.07 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.4 for IF Brommapojkarna and 2.1 for BK Häcken.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 66.6%), and both teams are likely to score (66%). The most probable exact scoreline is 1-2, with 1-1, 1-2, 0-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: BK Häcken to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 66.5% confidence. A 1-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.