Viking FK vs Tromso prediction: Viking FK to win 2-0 as model gives 64.2% chance
Eliteserien sees Viking FK face Tromso at Viking Stadion. The model makes Viking FK the favourite, assigning a clear 64.2% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Viking FK 64.2%, draw 22.8%, Tromso 13%.
Viking FK have generated 2.58 goals per game (1.58x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.96 conceded per game. Tromso average 1.83 scored (1.11x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.46 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.6 for Viking FK and 1 for Tromso.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 68.7%), and both teams are likely to score (57.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 2-0, 2-1, 3-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Viking FK to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 64.2% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Brighton ease past Tromso to secure Conference League spot — Brighton booked their place in the Conference League league phase with a comfortable 4-0 playoff victory over Tromso at the Amex Stadium. (ESPN, 2026-08-27)