Bodo/Glimt vs Viking FK prediction: Bodo/Glimt to win 2-1 as model gives 68.5% chance
Eliteserien sees Bodo/Glimt face Viking FK at Aspmyra Stadion. The model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite, assigning a clear 68.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Bodo/Glimt 68.5%, draw 18.1%, Viking FK 13.4%.
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.41 goals per game (1.46x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.90 conceded per game. Viking FK average 2.61 scored (1.58x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.96 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.6 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.3 for Viking FK.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and both teams are likely to score (58.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 1-0 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Bodo/Glimt to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 68.5% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.