Universidad de Chile vs Everton CD prediction: Universidad de Chile to win 2-0 as model gives 55.1% chance
Primera Division sees Universidad de Chile face Everton CD at Estadio El Teniente. The model makes Universidad de Chile the favourite, assigning a slight 55.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Universidad de Chile 55.1%, draw 24.8%, Everton CD 20.1%.
Universidad de Chile have generated 2.13 goals per game (1.45x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 0.89 conceded per game. Everton CD average 1.78 scored (1.21x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.23 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2 for Universidad de Chile and 1 for Everton CD.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 56.8%), and both-teams-to-score is close to a coin flip (54.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-0, with 1-1, 2-0, 2-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Universidad de Chile to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 55.1% confidence. A 2-0 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.