Viborg FF vs AC Horsens prediction: Viborg FF to win 2-1 as model gives 70.8% chance
Danish Superliga sees Viborg FF face AC Horsens at Viborg Stadion. The model makes Viborg FF the favourite, assigning a clear 70.8% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Viborg FF 70.8%, draw 17.6%, AC Horsens 11.6%.
Viborg FF have generated 1.56 goals per game (1.00x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.30 conceded per game. AC Horsens average 2.04 scored (1.31x average) and are a steady defence at 1.65 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.8 for Viborg FF and 1.5 for AC Horsens.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 65.6%), and both teams are likely to score (67.2%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Viborg FF to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 70.8% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.