AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction: Randers FC narrow favourites at 48%
Danish Superliga sees AC Horsens face Randers FC at Nordstern Arena Horsens. The model makes Randers FC the favourite, assigning a slight 48% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is AC Horsens 19.1%, draw 32.8%, Randers FC 48%.
AC Horsens have generated 1.89 goals per game (1.23x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.96 conceded per game. Randers FC average 1.10 scored (0.72x average) and are a steady defence at 1.68 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 2.3 for AC Horsens and 1.3 for Randers FC.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 69.3%), and both teams are likely to score (65.7%).
Verdict: Randers FC to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 48% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.