Willem II vs SC Cambuur prediction: Willem II narrow favourites at 42.1%
Eredivisie sees Willem II face SC Cambuur at Koning Willem II Stadion. The model makes Willem II the favourite, assigning a narrow 42.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Willem II 42.1%, draw 23.8%, SC Cambuur 34.1%.
Willem II have generated 1.01 goals per game (0.58x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.80 conceded per game. SC Cambuur average 1.48 scored (0.85x average) and are a leaky defence at 2.16 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.4 for Willem II and 2.1 for SC Cambuur.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 68.5%), and both teams are likely to score (67.4%).
Verdict: Willem II to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 42.1% confidence. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Man United loan teen striker Chido Obi to Dutch side Willem II — Manchester United striker Chido Obi has joined Dutch side Willem II on a season-long loan deal (ESPN, 2026-09-02)