ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction: PSV Eindhoven to win 0-3 as model gives 82.4% chance
Eredivisie sees ADO Den Haag face PSV Eindhoven at ADO Den Haag Stadium. The model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite, assigning a strong 82.4% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is ADO Den Haag 3%, draw 14.6%, PSV Eindhoven 82.4%.
ADO Den Haag have generated 1.17 goals per game (0.69x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.32 conceded per game. PSV Eindhoven average 3.11 scored (1.82x average) and are a miserly defence at 1.29 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1 for ADO Den Haag and 3.2 for PSV Eindhoven.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 78.8%), and both teams are likely to score (60.9%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-3, with 0-3, 1-3, 0-2 the leading candidates.
Verdict: PSV Eindhoven to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 82.4% confidence. A 0-3 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- USMNT's Ricardo Pepi calls injury minor setback, says recovery started — United States men's national team and PSV Eindhoven striker Ricardo Pepi on Tuesday called his injury a "minor setback," and said he has already started his recovery to return to action with his club. (ESPN, 2026-09-22)
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool targeting former Bayern Munich midfielder — PSV Eindhoven's Paul Wanner has emerged as a Liverpool target. Transfer Talk has the latest. (ESPN, 2026-09-17)
- USMNT's Dest scores 1st UCL goal in 6 years to earn draw for PSV — Sergiño Dest scored his first UEFA Champions League goal in six years to give PSV Eindhoven a 1-1 draw with Shakhtar Donetsk. (ESPN, 2026-09-10)
- Champions League schedule: Real Madrid open league phase vs. Inter Milan — Record 15-time European champions Real Madrid will start the league phase of the Champions League on Sept. 8 when they host Inter Milan. (ESPN, 2026-08-29)
- USMNT's Ricardo Pepi, Sergiño Dest score in PSV 5-1 rout — United States duo Ricardo Pepi and Sergiño Dest were on the scoresheet for PSV Eindhoven who continued their Eredivisie season with a 5-1 hammering of Groningen on Sunday. (ESPN, 2026-08-23)
- USMNT duo Dest and Pepi combine to give PSV 1st win of season — United States teammates Sergiño Dest and Ricardo Pepi combined for the winning goal to give PSV Eindhoven their first victory of the Dutch league season on Saturday. (ESPN, 2026-08-16)